Crude rallied yesterday as Joe Biden announced his bigger than expected stimulus programme of $1.9tn. The virus v vaccine war continues and with Brazil being the centre of virus bad news markets are drifting and oil is falling albeit modestly. Petrofac had the latest SFO statement that claimed a former employee of a subsidiary had admitted further charges under the UK bribery act.
Oil remains steady after a positive set of inventory stats yesterday. Today the first major winter storms have hit the North East of the US with three feet of snow in places. I have upgraded my 2021 oil price forecasts in line with the bucket list yesterday, I'm now at $55. Hunting have a trading update today, everything is in line with expectations. Cairn has announced a 32p special divvi and Echo have secured a new contract in Argentina. Far has received a potential 2.1c bid from Remus who appeared on the Petrotal shareholder list this week. Trinity has signed an MOU with the Trinidad & Tobago NGC and I report on yesterday's PFC statement. Finally I interviewed Brian Durrant of Unite Oil & Gas yesterday.
Oil had a good week but has since lost around a dollar as the strike in Norwegian oilfields has ended and hurricane Delta moved on. A great update from Serica where the R3 Intervention project is under way as is Columbus and also the gas price is making the economics of the company very handsome. At Petrofac it is announced that CEO Ayman Asfari is stepping down at the year-end but will remain as a NED. Newcomer is Sami Iskander who has a CV that reads very well and should be perfect for this role. I wish Ayman every success in his future as a philanthropist and of course, non-exec director.
The oil price continues to rise in an unspectacular way. Today's bullish news is that Russia are claiming to have found a vaccine, indeed President Putin has said that his own daughter was one of the first to receive it although the testing programme has been relatively modest so far... Petrofac are remarkably upbeat after what has been a testing first half and confident that going forward they have made substantial, 'structural' cost savings and retain a strong balance sheet and a competitive cost structure in low cost production markets. VOG has appointed Rob Collins, a highly experienced industry player as their new CFO.
Oil has drifted, little news from oil but the knock-on effect of an increase in the COVID-19 has taken its toll slightly. Savannah has extended its results until July due to COVID in its operations but gives a strong update to end May. Far are waiting on the operator of their Senegal asset as they reduce capex but for the time being Far are in technical default. Solo have also had local problems on delivering results but also say that they are in a strong position at the moment. Union Jack has swooped for a 3% stake in Biscathorpe taking them to 30% of this exciting project. Finally Petrofac has seen adverse reaction to the virus and the oil price but they are cutting costs and look very strong longer term.
Oil put in a shift last month, WTI up 88% and Brent up 40% although its still down 40% odd ytd. Today we look at Predator, building a strong position in Trinidad, Columbus working with them and with ongoing in the SW Peninsula. IOG have awarded the well management contract to Petrofac who add to the Iraq contract last week. At PetroTal it looks like the Bretana pipeline will reopen next month and that means that they can get a facility to sort out the bill from when the oil price fell and left them exposed. Finally Trinity get a VAT Bond from the Government to maintain financial strength.
Oil had a good day as the IEA came out with positive data, it was up this morning after a rise in equities but both are running out of steam at the moment. Petrofac reports a good deal of strength but inevitable shifting to the right of some of its E&C orders. Lamprell is a bit hit and miss, poor results as expected but I believe scope for upward growth this year and next. Finally Touchstone reported, most importantly it is hoping to drill the Chinook prospect in July of this year.
While down around a dollar this morning as the Opec+ meeting is moved to Thursday there is still optimism that a deal will be done. RockRose has leapt out of the starting stalls to release 2019 results as soon as the FCA allow. DGO are looking very smart after not being badly affected by the virus or the hydrocarbon prices. JOG have hired a legend formerly of Shell to help with the GBA which is good and Petrofac have swung the axe like others in the industry.
Oil boiled over on Friday as trade tariffs started to be put on although ending just in positive territory for the week. Today Hurricane give an update on the Lancaster EPS which is producing above guidance and where the Lincoln Crestal well is at TD preparing to do DSTs. From last week i look at results and meetings from Petrofac and Hunting both of which are performing well in challenging markets.
Oil in a lull at the moment with diplomatic solutions being exercised and US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo in the Gulf. Genel has announced a share buy-back which adds to their overall return now they pay a divvi and doesnt affect overall growth potential, a wise manoeuvre which should garner support. Finally Petrofac announce their pre-close update in which all is in line with provided guidance. There is some effect of the SFO naming its clients but all clients relationships remain 'excellent'.