Yesterday was down on economic news and filthy (though expected) inventory stats but today is better as Putin and Trump wish the oil market better again. Genel has received $33.2m from the KRG covering October exports and GKP $12.m. Coro has rung the changes today with a restructuring which has left CEO James Menzies out of the company as cost savings are made in Italy and Indonesia. Finally Egdon have said they need an impairment of some £2.5-3m in the upcoming interims.
A slight, hardly noticeable pick up in crude prices as the US waits for its $2tn and the Saudi/US alliance....DGO has announced an extended Ohio asset agreement again demonstrating its commitment to its asset retirement programme. GKP has decided to suspend both dividend and share buy-backs as Shaikan expansion is stopped by the virus and lack of payments for its crude. Ascent has started the process of coming back to life with a potential move in to the Caribbean and Hispanic areas. Finally, delayed from yesterday a quick look at Petro Matad who have an update out.
Its Black Monday with the Fed cutting rates to zero, making asset purchases of $700bn making no difference, as I write Wall Street is down 2400 points, the UK down 400, oil is off 10%.Jersey Oil & Gas is holding its own as it announces good news from the Greater Buchan area. GKP concludes the buy-back but suspends a well and may slight delay its plan for 55/- bopd.
At PetroTal al is going well with a tripling of average in 2020. At GKP they expect 43-48/- bopd in 2020 and 55/- bopd in Q3, takes some doing...
Oil remains quiet after the Opec meeting probably for a little while or until trade talks falter... Eco Atlantic and JV partners are submitting the next exploration phase to the Government of Guyana but is overshadowed by Tullow's second profit warning yesterday. Ironically their acreage in Guyana is now probably the best in the portfolio and the company is bereft of CEO, Exploration director and of course dividends. DGO has announced a 3.5 cent dividend for the 3rd Q and Falcon are progressing well in the Beetaloo. Gulf Keystone has announced production numbers and the 55/- b/d has been slightly postponed but apart from that the outlook is good. Finally Reabold has commenced drilling at West Brentwood in California.
Today's blog covers an interesting trip to Kurdistan where a good number of investors and analysts saw at close range the oil and gas facilities on the ground. At Genel there is a balanced current portfolio which already provides huge cash flows that not only fund the capex programme but a sizeable dividend as well and profitable at around $30 oil.They have considerable upside at, in the first instance Sarta which the company work with Chevron and where the upside includes the biggest potential field in country. In addition they have the possibility of everything coming together at Bina Bawi plus exploration at Qara Dagh to give substantial cash flow for capex and a generous dividend. Over at Gulf Keystone they have one massive field in Shaikan where they feel that exponential growth is not just possible but deliverable, 38/- b/d could become 55/- b/d, 75/- b/d and then 100/- b/d within 5 years which certainly pays for itself as well as buy-backs and dividends. Both companies are exceptional opportunities and offer returns rarely seen elsewhere in the market.
Oil prices continue to rise as new Minister ABS prepares to try and keep the oil market tight. Results today from Trinity are excellent with much more to come and they show a clean set of heels to the peer group. Solo has sold its Burj investment, important as it concentrates on building the business in higher growth markets. GKP results were good but saw a lower production figure which has led to a fall in guidance, never good but mainly due to increased investment in the plan to go to 55/- b/d at Shaikan and still has a large capex and dividend + share buy-back. Cairn figures very much in line with excellent operational featuring Catcher...
Oil is quiet and after a modest fall last week traders are uncertain which way to go, with production cuts or GDP cuts? Predator has announced that Ram Head, its Celtic Sea gas discovery will now look more interesting after the Irish govt decided not to proceed with the Climate Emergency Bill. VOG updated by just a few days and are also getting paid, GKP are buying shares back and SDX are sort-of on time with South Disouq...
July 4th meant very little trade, WTI was shut and Brent drifted. Today I'm talking about Eco Atlantic who have spudded offshore Guyana, Gulf Keystone who have paid a divvi today, IGas who announced further conventional activity yesterday and a report on a meeting with Petro Matad CEO Mike Buck.
Oil prices are up again today and that makes a substantial gain in the last week or so as the Gulf flares up and tensions rise. GDP worries are allayed as the US Fed indicate that rates will fall, maybe as soon as July. Pantheon call in a geophysicist to help with work in Alaska and to partner on the farm-out and I cover the Gulf Keystone AGM statement from Friday.