Oil continues to rise, Brent is $45 this afternoon as the vaccine, Opec+, Asian demand data and even the inventory stats are creating a perfect storm, even G Sachs are helping by cutting their oil price forecasts...I look at Far who have sold Senegal WI today and Jadestone who are looking good after an encounter with Inpex in arbitration. Finally we mourn the early loss of our friend Graham Cowdrey at the age of 56. RIP
Oil was up last week and is up again today, modestly so but that's not a problem. Woodside has exercised its pre-empt right and has taken Cairn's stake in the Sangomar discovery offshore Senegal. Petro Matad has interims but most importantly have cash enough to keep them going until 'mid 2021'.
Oil and markets fall on the IMF downing GDP forecasts and a rise in COVID-19 cases. Inventory stats showed a modest build in crude but again a solid draw in gasoline stocks and demand. Far Gambia has signed up a JOA in respect of Blocks A2 and A5 with Petronas and is in process of a farm-out for part of its own stake.San Leon have figures and the amount that this company pays out is making it, in my view a very credible investment especially for retail investors. IGas has continued to carefully monitor its resources and is also cutting costs from a position of strength.
Oil has drifted, little news from oil but the knock-on effect of an increase in the COVID-19 has taken its toll slightly. Savannah has extended its results until July due to COVID in its operations but gives a strong update to end May. Far are waiting on the operator of their Senegal asset as they reduce capex but for the time being Far are in technical default. Solo have also had local problems on delivering results but also say that they are in a strong position at the moment. Union Jack has swooped for a 3% stake in Biscathorpe taking them to 30% of this exciting project. Finally Petrofac has seen adverse reaction to the virus and the oil price but they are cutting costs and look very strong longer term.
Oil continues its sporting run, April 20th with its negative oil price seems like a long time passed. The July WTI expires with both it and the new August contract over $40. Despite newspaper rumours Woodside reiterates that the Sangomar Field Development Phase 1 remains on track for 2023 'in line with previous guidance' so Far and Cairn are both helped by this news. SDX has another update and in Egypt and Morocco the news is good subject of course to drilling and testing.
Oil is rallying today as we head into May, it is however only very early days with regard to this process. RockRose has an AGM statement and costs continue to fall, the company remains in a strong position. Ascent has signed up more potential acreage in Cuba where opportunities look very interesting and has raised £212,500 as part of the programme. Far continues to manage Sangomar where without its debt finance it is aiming to farm-down all or part of its acreage. Aminex also comments that with its substantial free carry it can make considerable progress in Tanzania and in Pan-Africa. Finally Rockhopper announce that the HOT with Navitas re the Falklands is still in play.
The White House and Senate agree on the $2tn stimulus bill, markets rally, oil doesnt... I look at the Hurricane update in the absence of the CMD, as things go its pretty good. Echo announce a debt restructuring with VAT help and with help from creditors should help. Far has announced that drilling in The Gambia, expected 2H drilling plans for 2020 will be suspended due to the Coronavirus. IGas release a positive update and are not impacted by said virus. Finally, having visited iog I take a look at what lies ahead and it looks pretty good, with a great gas portfolio and current investment at highly advantageous prices.
It's Bucket List time and the February update is out today, cue trauma.....
Oil duly rose last week but at present the virus, now Covid-19 could be peaking but the WHO are less confident. Predator completed a raise of £3.56m at 4p, a highly commendable job done that was 'significantly oversubscribed' and the outlook is promising. Sound Energy has had to go to plan B as so far the buyer of its Eastern Morocco assets has not yet signed an SPA. Far announced that MD Cath Norman had bought shares pa on Friday, nice work.
The oil price will have done well to increase on the week in the face of the inscrutable Chinese virus as well as the 1H oversupply situation but Opec+ production cuts will help that. Today DGO announce a buy-back, on an 11% yield punters should follow, Far suffer at the hands of the Court of Arbitration but are set fair in West Africa. Ascent Resources, where shareholders have been crying out for restructuring have now got just that and SDX spud at South Disouq.