Oil was even last week but slightly down this morning ahead of the Opec+ JMMC two day meeting tomorrow. President has announced an exciting drilling programme starting next month with workovers and wells targeting meaningful oil and gas. Eco has announced results but the situation is very strong and they have lots of upside in both Guyana and Namibia.
Oil has been very much unchanged over the quarter end and contract rollover and is so today, a lot of talk about who has spoken to MbS... BP have announced 25% capex cuts, in line with others whilst Sound Energy are still discussing their GSA in Morocco. Echo Energy has been restructuring its debt with a number of successes already agreed and Eco Atlantic has pared back costs and remains very well placed when drilling recommences. Finally, I spoke to Wentworth Resources this week and I am convinced that with their very strong model and solid finances they are as good as any in the sector.
It's Bucket List time and the February update is out today, cue trauma.....
Swift comment on a good update from Wentworth, a good CPR from a Eco Atlantic and positive news from President.
The headlines are obviously of the US taking out Qassem Soleimani thereby reigniting tensions in the Gulf and surrounding areas. Companies catching up on news include Echo who are perforating and stimulating at Tapi Aike and have spudded at CLix-1001. Genel have another excellent producer at TT-34 and are unlikely to be affected by current problems in the Middle East. NU-Oil has made a modest raise, much to come from that company this year whilst it is now positioning itself for the inevitable deal. Reabold have found oil and gas at West Brentwood and Eco (Atlantic) has light oil to the North and the South.
Oil recovered yesterday after initially falling on an API report that showed a build in stocks, the subsequent EIA report showed a draw of 1.1m barrels and oil recovered to be roughly even on the day. Echo has announced that its rig is on the move and should be ready to drill the CLix-1001 well by the end of December. DGO has announced a new NED as well as announcing that the 2Q divvi will be paid on 20th December and a sterling equivalent of 2.65p a share. PetroTal has also appointed two new NED's after recently the Chairman of the Board moved to the non board position of CFO. And Touchstone announce that the Coho-1 well has produced well making it a red letter month for the company.
Oil remains quiet after the Opec meeting probably for a little while or until trade talks falter... Eco Atlantic and JV partners are submitting the next exploration phase to the Government of Guyana but is overshadowed by Tullow's second profit warning yesterday. Ironically their acreage in Guyana is now probably the best in the portfolio and the company is bereft of CEO, Exploration director and of course dividends. DGO has announced a 3.5 cent dividend for the 3rd Q and Falcon are progressing well in the Beetaloo. Gulf Keystone has announced production numbers and the 55/- b/d has been slightly postponed but apart from that the outlook is good. Finally Reabold has commenced drilling at West Brentwood in California.
Happy Thanksgiving and whilst today and Black Friday means very little trading in oil markets until Monday it is a time of the year fraught with risk especially with the Opec+ meeting next week. I welcome Longboat Energy to the market with its former Faroe management and talk about Jadestone, also with a very high quality team. With Bahamas Petroleum preparing for 2020 drilling they are starting the necessary steps for local investors and the environmental needs.
Oil prices fell back a little but are up again this morning, pre-Opec meeting positioning is starting a full fortnight before the meeting starts. Eco Atlantic have results which are by the by, they are cashed up for exploration and appraisal next year and there is a growing industry feeling that Guyana is looking good despite slightly heavy oil. Falco has posted the first of what will be a series of results from the Beetaloo, early signs are positive. And IGas has resceduled its debt, saving $1m pa and has given upbeat fcf and production guidance.
The oil price has risen sharply this morning after Houthi rebels attacked Saudi installations with drones at the weekend. Whatever the fundamentals of the oil market this will not go unheeded. Savannah note that CNPC and the Niger Government have signed up for a 2,000 km pipeline from the Agadem Basin to the coast at Benin. Eco Atlantic along with Tullow have found more oil in Guyana, this time at their Joe-1 well in the Orinduik block. Reabold has increased its stake in Danube Petroleum to 41.6% via a subscription and Cluff has had inyerims but look in a good place.