WTI $51.87 +42c, Brent $57.82 +65c, Diff -$5.95 +23c, NG $2.95 -5c
No blog yesterday as I was ‘out and about’ but company news is fairly thin on the ground at the moment. The oil price remains firm and today Brent is above $58 and WTI above $52, last week they gained $1.55 and $2.16 respectively. The main positive are the substantial export cuts for November announced by Aramco over the weekend in which they expect to reduce by 560/- b/d which in my book is called making a statement. The usual geopolitical events such as in Kirkuk and the Trump moves on Iranian sanctions still exist and with elections called for February in Nigeria I can’t see that settling down between now and then.
A couple of points to make about Genel from today and yesterday, they have announced that the first RSA payment has been made, amounting to $6m and under the new arrangements is their exact share of the 4.5% of the Tawke revenues in August. Understandably the above mentioned troubles around Kirkuk have caused some consternation amongst investors and rightly so, having said that it should not be overestimated.
Yesterday they announced that COO Paul Schofield was stepping down with immediate effect and will be replaced in November by Bill Higgs, formerly COO of Ophir Energy and boss of Mediterranean Oil and Gas. A significant move by Genel and in my view a most positive one, it didn’t take much savvy to realise that Bill would not be out for long and this looks a very interesting one. As previously reported the guard is being changed at the top of Genel and very much for the better.
Whilst on the subject of revenues, PPC has announced that it has ‘banked proceeds’ from its first delivery of oil from the Puesto Flores field, only recently acquired from Chevron. The $1.5m shows that the assets are delivering to PPC ‘from the get go’ and as in his interview with me last week, shows that Chairman Peter Levine is ‘focused on profits and positive cash flow’. The shares are now above 10p and should go a lot higher, especially after his bullish comments last week.
Zenith has announced a production increase on the C-21 well in Azerbaijan from 34 b/d to 50 b/d which could rise if an ESP is installed. I have been looking at ZEN a bit lately and think it warrants further investigation.
This afternoon sees the draw for the World Cup playoffs with Northern Ireland and the RoI in the pot. Seeded teams they might meet include Switzerland, Italy, Croatia or Denmark…
Tonight we are back to the Champions League, the HubCap Stealers go to NK Maribor, the Noisy Neighbours host Napoli and Spurs are at Real Madrid which gives young Harry the chance to size up the Bernabéu…
And the ‘much loved’ Warren Gatland has said that he won’t manage the British and Irish Lions tour of South Africa in 2021 or as he puts it ‘won’t submit myself’ to it, what a shame….
The heavy rain in Japan produced another thrilling race between the two contenders for the World Championship. Marc Marquez led for the second half of the race having overtaken pole man Danilo Petrucci but couldn’t shake off a determined Andrea Dovizioso who can now smell the World Championship. Going into the last lap it looked as though Marquez had the win but a mistake allowed Dovi through, meaning Marquez only has an 11 point lead going into next week’s Australian GP. Both Rossi and Crutchlow slid off with Rossi blaming his rear Michelin. Best Brit was Sam Lowes’ 13th.